Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
67.2% | 18.63% | 14.17% |
Both teams to score 54.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% | 60.78% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.44% | 10.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.7% | 34.3% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% | 39.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% | 76.21% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 4.5% Total : 67.19% | 1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.63% | 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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