Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Torino had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
40.3% | 26.32% | 33.38% |
Both teams to score 52.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% | 51.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% | 73.66% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% | 25.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% | 60.14% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |