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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hibs logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Hibernian

Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')
Smith (52'), Atkinson (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cadden (11'), Bushiri (37'), Campbell (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 Hearts
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian

 Neither side have proved able to keep the back door shut for long this season, so a frenetic Edinburgh derby is likely to end with both teams on the scoresheet. With home advantage and recent form in their favour, it is Hearts who are set to shade it though - pulling further clear of Hibs in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
44.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.4% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)44.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)66.66% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)20.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.47%
    Hibernian 31.12%
    Draw 24.4%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
80.4%
Draw
13.0%
Hibernian
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Hibernian
0-0
Hearts

Stevenson (11'), Newell (58')

Moore (12'), Halliday (17'), Devlin (45+1'), Woodburn (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
Hearts
0-0
Hibernian

Cochrane (47')

Newell (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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