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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dundee United

Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (71'), Cochrane (77'), Humphrys (90+8')
Humphrys (48'), Kingsley (78'), Ginnelly (90+6'), Kuol (90+7')
Ginnelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fletcher (9')
Pawlett (13'), Sibbald (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 Dundee United

 With Dundee United languishing at the foot of the table, Hearts should return to winning ways this weekend, with Neilson's men expected to maintain their high-scoring home form against one of the leakiest backlines in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
52.87% (-0.187 -0.19) 22.48% (0.11 0.11) 24.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.433 -0.43)40.03% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.448 -0.45)62.39% (0.45 0.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)15.21% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.407 -0.41)43.85% (0.409 0.41)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.173 -0.17)29.5% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.21 -0.21)65.52% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 52.87%
    Dundee United 24.65%
    Draw 22.48%
HeartsDrawDundee United
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Hearts
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Dundee United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Fletcher (20'), Levitt (47')
McMann (45')
Smith (41'), Shankland (90+4' pen.)
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Hearts
4-1
Dundee Utd
Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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