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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
3 - 1
Motherwell

Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Miovski (65'), Kennedy (74'), Pollock (74'), Clarkson (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van Veen (75' pen.)
Goss (39'), Obika (45+4'), O'Donnell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell

Neither side can buy a win at the moment, so it is hard to imagine there will be much quality on show at either end of the pitch. A draw may not be the worst result as it would end the respective losing runs both sides are on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
46.74% (-0.143 -0.14) 25.1% (0.041 0.04) 28.16% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.17% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.126 -0.13)48.89% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.115 -0.11)70.98% (0.108 0.11)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.114 -0.11)20.95% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.177 -0.18)53.69% (0.17 0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.47% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.86% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 46.73%
    Motherwell 28.16%
    Draw 25.1%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Motherwell
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Fifth Round
Motherwell
2-1
Aberdeen
Van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
0-2
Motherwell

Ferguson (42'), McCrorie (77'), Ojo (90+2')
Van Veen (50', 57')
Maguire (21'), van Veen (22'), Roberts (36'), McGinley (64'), Mugabi (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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