Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.79% ( -0.4) | 23.55% ( -0.11) | 30.65% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.43% ( 0.79) | 40.56% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.05% ( 0.81) | 62.94% ( -0.81) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( 0.15) | 18% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.13% ( 0.26) | 48.87% ( -0.26) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.72) | 25.54% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.97) | 60.41% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |