Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
37.82% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( 0) | 37.25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% ( -0.01) | 45.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% ( -0.01) | 67.64% ( 0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% ( -0) | 23.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% ( -0) | 57.77% ( 0) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0.01) | 23.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( -0.02) | 58.21% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |