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Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Mirren logo

Hearts
4 - 2
St Mirren

Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

St Mirren

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

 Hearts are the stronger of the two teams, and that is reflected by their league positions and the fact that they have won both of their previous encounters this season. The Jambos would see winning this competition as a perfect way to wrap up what has been an excellent campaign, and with the home advantage, they should be able to secure a place in the final four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
61.95%21.62%16.43%
Both teams to score 49.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63%47.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41%69.59%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26%14.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03%42.97%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02%41.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58%78.42%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 61.95%
    St Mirren 16.43%
    Draw 21.62%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.43%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
97.2%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Obika (48')

Naismith (23'), Damour (72')
> Match Report
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Hearts
5-2
St Mirren
Naismith (6'), McLoughlin (30' og.), Bozanic (42'), Walker (46'), Mulraney (77')
Obika (21'), Mullen (33')
> Match Report
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