Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
71.5% ( -0.11) | 17.57% ( 0.05) | 10.93% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% ( -0.04) | 10.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% ( -0.09) | 33.92% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( 0.1) | 46.88% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( 0.08) | 82.4% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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