Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.11% | 29.35% | 42.54% |
Both teams to score 42.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.69% | 64.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.6% | 83.4% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% | 39.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% | 76.5% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% | 30% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% | 66.12% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.11% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 42.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |