Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Tondela |
43.6% | 29.96% | 26.44% |
Both teams to score 39.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.27% | 66.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.92% | 85.08% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% | 30.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.13% | 66.87% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.32% | 42.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% | 79.02% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 15.46% 2-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.79% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.23% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 13.07% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.95% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.09% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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