Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
45.8% ( 0.1) | 27% ( -0.03) | 27.2% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.11% ( 0.08) | 56.89% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( 0.06) | 77.81% ( -0.06) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0.08) | 24.79% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.11) | 59.37% ( -0.11) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% ( -0.01) | 36.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% ( -0.01) | 73.27% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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