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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Portimonense

Braga
4 - 1
Portimonense

Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Bruma (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gomes (45+2')
Ventura (10'), Seck (37'), Carlinhos (45+3'), Moufi (54'), Klismahn (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-0 Portimonense

 When you couple Braga's exceptional home form with Portimonense's woeful away record, all the signs point towards a straightforward win for Os Arsenalistas at the Estadio Municipal de Braga. Given that Braga have won 10 of their last 13 home league games – keeping nine clean sheets in the process – we expect Jorge's men to notch another shutout victory in front of their fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
76.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 15.74% (0.014999999999999 0.01) 8.2% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)42.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)64.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)9.32% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.26% (0.012999999999998 0.01)52.73% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)86.48% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 76.04%
    Portimonense 8.2%
    Draw 15.74%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 13.83%
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 76.04%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 15.74%
0-1 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 8.2%

How you voted: Braga vs Portimonense

Braga
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Portimonense
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Cariello (44')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
gameweek 10
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
May 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-0
Braga

Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
Feb 4, 2021 9pm
gameweek 17
Braga
2-1
Portimonense
Piazon (62'), Horta (73' pen.)
Boa Morte (23')
Ewerton (60'), Henrique (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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