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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Dean Court
Southampton logo

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Southampton


Mepham (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (9')
Perraud (15'), Maitland-Niles (43'), Armstrong (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton

Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline. Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
42.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 26.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.07% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.49%
    Southampton 31.07%
    Draw 26.43%
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Southampton

Bournemouth
69.0%
Draw
19.9%
Southampton
11.1%
332
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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