Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.66% ( -0.01) | 23.03% ( -0) | 56.31% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.99% ( 0.02) | 47.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( 0.02) | 69.26% ( -0.01) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% ( 0) | 36.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( 0) | 73.75% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.5% ( 0.01) | 16.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.77% ( 0.02) | 46.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.66% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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