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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester

Burn (60'), Joelinton (72')
Longstaff (37'), Burn (38'), Botman (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (62'), Ndidi (67')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Dan Burn and Joelinton guide Newcastle United to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Leicester City, which secures their passage to the EFL Cup semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
45.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.023 0.02)67.98% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.012 0.01)28.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.91%
    Leicester City 29.55%
    Draw 24.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
68.4%
Draw
12.3%
Leicester City
19.3%
187
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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