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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK
BMO Field
Orlando City

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (63', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

 We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawOrlando City
36.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 37.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.62%
    Orlando City 37.35%
    Draw 26.02%
TorontoDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.62%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: Toronto vs Orlando City

Toronto
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Orlando City
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Toronto
0-1
Orlando City

Bradley (42')
Smith (90+2')
Moutinho (71'), Schlegel (72'), Jansson (88')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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