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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
New England Revolution

Orlando City
3 - 2
New England

McGuire (31'), Torres (37'), Angulo (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gil (42', 90+3')
McNamara (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 New England Revolution

While Orlando City and New England Revolution have already secured post-season football, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Exploria Stadium as both sides look to finish the regular season strong. The Lions have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them coming out on top in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
56.24% (-0.679 -0.68) 22.03% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 21.72% (0.639 0.64)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (0.65000000000001 0.65)41.24% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36% (0.658 0.66)63.63% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (0.965 0.97)32.67% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (1.066 1.07)69.21% (-1.068 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.24%
    New England Revolution 21.72%
    Draw 22.03%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56.24%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs New England

Orlando City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England
3-1
Orlando City
Boateng (51'), Bou (69'), Gil (85')
Buck (84'), Edwards Jr. (90+3'), Edwards Jr. (90+4')
McGuire (80')
Araujo (3'), Halliday (22')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')
Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 40
Orlando City
2-2
New England
Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Sep 26, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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