Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
42.11% ( 0.13) | 24.71% ( -0.06) | 33.18% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% ( 0.26) | 44.95% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% ( 0.25) | 67.3% ( -0.25) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% ( 0.17) | 21.39% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% ( 0.26) | 54.37% ( -0.26) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( 0.08) | 26.12% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( 0.11) | 61.18% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |