Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
26% ( 0.18) | 22.56% ( 0.3) | 51.44% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.91% ( -1.27) | 39.08% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( -1.34) | 61.41% ( 1.35) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -0.53) | 27.96% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% ( -0.69) | 63.59% ( 0.69) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.61) | 15.36% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -1.16) | 44.13% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |