Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
33.19% ( 0.93) | 26.73% ( 0.15) | 40.08% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.37) | 53.61% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.32) | 75.11% ( 0.31) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 0.43) | 30.35% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( 0.51) | 66.54% ( -0.52) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.75) | 26.24% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( -1.01) | 61.35% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |