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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Strasbourg

Lorient
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Faivre (10', 36')
Abergel (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 PSG
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 2-2 Strasbourg

With both sides only playing for pride, the two could take their foot off the pedal and play with more freedom here. Strasbourg have been impressive in attack in particular despite their lowly league position, and they could well take something from this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
31.22% (0.177 0.18) 27.19% (0.575 0.58) 41.58% (-0.757 -0.76)
Both teams to score 49.33% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (-2.166 -2.17)55.92% (2.162 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (-1.791 -1.79)77.02% (1.787 1.79)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)32.88% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-1.116 -1.12)69.45% (1.112 1.11)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-1.385 -1.39)26.5% (1.382 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (-1.873 -1.87)61.69% (1.871 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 31.22%
    Strasbourg 41.58%
    Draw 27.19%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.537 0.54)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.702 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.239 -0.24)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.51 0.51)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Lorient vs Strasbourg

Lorient
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Strasbourg
40.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 4.05pm
gameweek 15
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (87')
Moffi (5')
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
gameweek 29
Lorient
0-0
Strasbourg

Innocent (22'), Ouattara (76')

Bellegarde (29'), Perrin (89')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Strasbourg
4-0
Lorient
Ajorque (28'), Diallo (39', 45+1'), Thomasson (64')
Sissoko (36')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (18')
Carole (10')
Chalobah (55')
Laporte (53')
Aug 23, 2020 2pm
gameweek 1
Lorient
3-1
Strasbourg
Wissa (51'), Grbic (60' pen.), Hamel (87')
Boisgard (69'), Wadja (72'), Laporte (79')
Chahiri (30')
Simakan (37'), Carole (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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