Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
21.17% | 22.72% | 56.11% |
Both teams to score 54.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% | 45.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% | 67.38% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% | 15.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% | 45.07% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 5.83% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 5.83% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.68% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |