Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.08%).
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Metz |
56.47% | 24.65% | 18.89% |
Both teams to score 45.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% | 55.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% | 76.7% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% | 19.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% | 51.52% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.2% | 43.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.04% | 79.96% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.98% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.45% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |