Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
55.23% | 23.09% | 21.68% |
Both teams to score 53.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% | 46.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% | 68.32% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% | 16.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% | 46.27% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.6% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |