Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
58.51% | 23.68% | 17.81% |
Both teams to score 46.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.62% | 53.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% | 74.91% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% | 18.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% | 48.88% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.17% | 43.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.02% | 79.98% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.5% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |