Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Nice |
32.08% | 26.45% | 41.47% |
Both teams to score 51.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% | 52.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% | 74.38% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% | 66.9% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% | 25.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% | 59.81% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |