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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Whilst Brest will be desperate to return to winning ways - and will have home advantage - Lille have rediscovered some of the form that took them to a shock title last year, and we think they will have too much for Les Pirates on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
32.91%25.83%41.26%
Both teams to score 54.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05%49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06%71.93%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28%28.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45%64.55%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Brest 32.91%
    Lille 41.26%
    Draw 25.82%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
10.0%
Draw
7.5%
Lille
82.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Brest
Celik (44'), Bamba (75')
Belkebla (7')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
P-P
Lille
Dec 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 17
Lille
1-0
Brest
Osimhen (16')

Larsonneur (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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