Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Brest had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Bordeaux |
36.75% | 25.72% | 37.53% |
Both teams to score 55.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.07% | 48.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.98% | 71.02% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% | 60.91% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% | 60.32% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Bordeaux |
1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |