MX23RW : Monday, April 29 18:59:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 0
Monterrey

Dominguez (26')
Garcia (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vegas (30'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, August 27 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Cruz Azul
Monday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawMonterrey
34.48% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 24.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 41.35% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)42.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.49% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (-0.012 -0.01)58.25% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 34.48%
    Monterrey 41.35%
    Draw 24.17%
TolucaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (17', 31')
Araujo (62')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Vegas (23'), Reyes (31'), Meza (73')
Apr 7, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Toluca
2-2
Monterrey
Fernandez (90+10' pen.)
Huerta (12'), Ortega (42'), Rodriguez (89')

Vegas (29'), Janssen (45+2'), Aguirre (90+6'), Montes (90+9')
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Gameweek 11
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Andrada (77'), Vegas (89')
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')
Apr 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-2
Monterrey
Torres (71')
Torres (38'), Canelo (66')
Vegas (51'), Meza (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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