Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
-0.63) 
0.46) 
