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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 0
Toluca

Torres (31')
Rivera (23'), Barbieri (46'), Balanta (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawToluca
34.2% (-0.357 -0.36) 25.55% (0.179 0.18) 40.24% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.686 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-0.855 -0.86)48.46% (0.853 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.786 -0.79)70.59% (0.782 0.78)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.622 -0.62)27.18% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.82 -0.82)62.59% (0.817 0.82)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.291 -0.29)23.83% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.418 -0.42)58% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 34.2%
    Toluca 40.24%
    Draw 25.55%
QueretaroDrawToluca
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.246 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.24%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Mendoza (26')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Perg (10')
Mendoza (48'), Torres (73'), Aguerre (87'), Cabrera (90+3')
Hernandez (64')
Fernandez (90+5')
Samudio (45+4')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Sep 4, 2020 1am
Queretaro
4-1
Toluca
Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')
Guemez (77')
Sauro (18'), Sartiaguin (58'), Cisneros (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915
> Liga MX Full Table


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