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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Necaxa

Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 9 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa

 Necaxa have been resilient in their first two games of the new season, but Friday presents a much trickier test, and we see this confident Guadalajara side making it three wins on the bounce on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
54.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 20.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 45.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.27% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79%79.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 54.73%
    Necaxa 20.05%
    Draw 25.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.05%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Necaxa

CD Guadalajara
90.3%
Draw
9.7%
Necaxa
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 14
Guadalajara
1-0
Necaxa
Aug 20, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
0-4
Guadalajara
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
0-1
Guadalajara

Madrigal (34'), Gimenez (60'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Ponce (89')
Perez Bouquet (4')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Necaxa
Brizuela (43'), Zaldivar (90+12' pen.)
Vega (23'), Molina (47'), Mayorga (89')
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (54')
Oliveros (90+8'), Meza (90+10')
Feb 14, 2021 1am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
2-2
Necaxa
Dominguez (66'), Gonzalez (74'), Barragan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915
> Liga MX Full Table


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