MX23RW : Monday, April 29 10:57:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 8, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 1
Tijuana

Montes (90+1')
Esquivel (24'), Mendez (42'), Garnica (45+2'), Poggi (55'), Gonzalez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (73')
Madrigal (15'), Vega (45+4'), Barbosa (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Pumas
Saturday, July 1 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana

There is plenty of room for improvement with both sides, but Tijuana do not look quite as cohesive which makes sense given the amount of changes the club have made, and we believe that will give Necaxa the edge in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
44.69% (0.419 0.42) 26.51% (-0.158 -0.16) 28.8% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.327 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.493 0.49)54.25% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.409 0.41)75.65% (-0.405 -0.41)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.422 0.42)24.17% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.59500000000001 0.6)58.49% (-0.591 -0.59)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.067 0.07)70.45% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 44.68%
    Club Tijuana 28.8%
    Draw 26.51%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.68%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.8%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Tijuana

Necaxa
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Club Tijuana
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 1am
Sep 19, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 15
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Lertora (45+5')
Garcia (34')
Feb 19, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Ferreyra (57')
Garcia Banuelos (69')
Sep 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Necaxa
3-0
Tijuana
Garcia Banuelos (52'), Salas (56'), Medina (79')
Formiliano (34')

Sansores (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
1-0
Necaxa
Martinez (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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