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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Madrid logo

Osasuna
2 - 4
Real Madrid

Budimir (7'), Munoz (90+1')
Herrando (31'), Torro (55'), Garcia (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Junior (4', 64'), Carvajal (18'), Diaz (61')
Junior (44'), Camavinga (53')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Osasuna.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Osasuna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Real Madrid

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Real Madrid, and both Girona and Barcelona will be looking for a favour from Osasuna. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Ancelotti's side will be able to navigate their way to another big three points in the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid
20.6% (-0.271 -0.27) 23.55% (-0.226 -0.23) 55.85% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.592 0.59)49.25% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.533 0.53)71.3% (-0.53099999999999 -0.53)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (0.062000000000005 0.06)38.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.058 0.06)75.06% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.40100000000001 0.4)17.46% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (0.693 0.69)47.94% (-0.691 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 20.6%
    Real Madrid 55.84%
    Draw 23.55%
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.6%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.58% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.036 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Osasuna
9.6%
Draw
10.8%
Real Madrid
79.5%
166
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
4-0
Osasuna
Bellingham (9', 54'), Junior (65'), Joselu (70')
Rudiger (40'), Tchouameni (59')

Barja (83'), Ibanez (83')
May 6, 2023 9pm
Feb 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Osasuna
0-2
Real Madrid
Valverde (78'), Asensio (90+2')
Oct 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
1-1
Osasuna
Junior (42')
Kike (50')
Apr 20, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Osasuna
1-3
Real Madrid
Budimir (13')
Brasanac (44')
Alaba (12'), Asensio (45'), Vazquez (90+6')
Camavinga (5'), Militao (60'), Nacho (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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