Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
39.06% ( 0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 33.26% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.69% ( -0.09) | 57.31% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% ( -0.07) | 78.14% ( 0.07) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( 0.05) | 28.56% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( 0.06) | 64.35% ( -0.07) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( -0.17) | 32.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( -0.19) | 68.67% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |