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Le Havre
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Nantes

Metz
3 - 1
Nantes

Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simon (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 2-2 Nantes

Both sets of players will be hoping for a positive result before the two-week international break and are likely to go all out for the victory in this one. With two of the worst defences in the league on display in this match, a fair bit of goalmouth action at both ends can be expected here, but we feel that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNantes
44.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.164 -0.16)56.58% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.131 -0.13)77.56% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.117 -0.12)25.07% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.162 -0.16)59.75% (0.158 0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.66% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (-0.061 -0.06)72.43% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Metz 44.96%
    Nantes 28%
    Draw 27.03%
MetzDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Metz vs Nantes

Metz
20.0%
Draw
36.7%
Nantes
43.3%
30
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Amadou (59')
Pajot (86')
Cyprien (40'), Traore (51')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
2-0
Metz
Kolo (12'), Blas (49')
Blas (53'), Coco (90')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
2-0
Nantes
Leya Iseka (35'), Boulaya (90+3')
Goncalves (29'), Sarr (85'), Boulaya (89')

Coco (66'), Girotto (90')
Nov 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
1-1
Metz
Kolo (29')
Abeid (41'), Da Silva (45+4')
Leya Iseka (45+4' pen.)
Fofana (71'), Oukidja (85'), Boye (87')
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
0-0
Metz
Udol (57')
Boulaya (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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