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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Salernitana

Thuram (17'), Martinez (19'), Dumfries (40'), Arnautovic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tchaouna (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Salernitana

Despite the managerial change at Salernitana, any response to Liverani's appointment must wait, with Inter expected to secure a routine victory over the struggling visitors at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
86.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 9.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03) 3.72% (0.0211 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.12% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)33.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.62% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)5.38% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.83% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.036100000000001 0.04)91.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.33%
    Salernitana 3.72%
    Draw 9.93%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
1-1 @ 4.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
93.5%
Draw
3.3%
Salernitana
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-4
Inter Milan

Cabral (60'), Gyomber (69')
Martinez (62', 77', 85', 89')
Calhanoglu (25')
Apr 7, 2023 4pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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