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Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Genoa logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Genoa

Martegani (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (13'), Gudmundsson (58' pen.)
Frendrup (29'), Badelj (45+1'), Bani (60'), Vogliacco (70'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Salernitana
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Genoa

 Although Genoa have struggled to score regularly on the road, Salernitana's vulnerable defence can be breached at least once by Gilardino's tough-to-beat Grifone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawGenoa
30.41% (-0.118 -0.12) 26.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 43.21% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (0.262 0.26)53.03% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38% (0.222 0.22)74.62% (-0.223 -0.22)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (0.048000000000002 0.05)31.97% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)68.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.217 0.22)24.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (0.302 0.3)58.76% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 30.41%
    Genoa 43.2%
    Draw 26.38%
SalernitanaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Genoa

Salernitana
26.3%
Draw
21.1%
Genoa
52.6%
57
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Salernitana
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Malinovskyi (37'), Bani (42'), De Winter (71')

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> Preview
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Salernitana
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Sturaro (53'), Badelj (60'), Rovella (66')
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Mazzocchi (63'), Dragusin (75')
> Preview
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Salernitana
Ekuban (76')
Galdames (21'), Vasquez (32')

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> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 2pm
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Genoa
Djuric (66')
Gyomber (89'), Ribery (90+1')

Maksimovic (75'), Cambiaso (84')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
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