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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.08% ( 0.78) | 23.51% ( -0.22) | 24.41% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( 0.45) | 44.93% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% ( 0.43) | 67.28% ( -0.43) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( 0.46) | 17.26% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% ( 0.8) | 47.57% ( -0.8) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.65% ( -0.23) | 32.34% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( -0.25) | 68.85% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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