Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb5 - 1Astana
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Astana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Astana
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Osijek | 26 | 3.25 | Caktas |
2 | Rijeka | 17 | 2.43 | Jankovic |
3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 12 | 2.00 | Petkovic |
4 | Varazdin | 12 | 1.71 | Brodic |
5 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 1.57 | Livaja |
6 | Slaven Koprivnica | 11 | 1.22 | Crnac |
7 | NK Lokomotiva | 9 | 1.29 | Bubanja |
8 | Gorica | 8 | 1.14 | Ndockyt |
9 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 1.00 | Erceg |
10 | Rudes | 5 | 0.63 | Pasaricek |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
Result | ||
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
67.38% ( 0.1) | 19.91% ( -0.03) | 12.7% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% ( -0.03) | 47.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% ( -0.02) | 69.82% ( 0.02) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.83% ( 0.02) | 13.17% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.13% ( 0.04) | 39.86% ( -0.05) |
Astana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.49% ( -0.13) | 47.5% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.13% ( -0.1) | 82.86% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Dinamo Zagreb 67.38%
Astana 12.7%
Draw 19.91%
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 67.38% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.91% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 12.7% |
How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Astana
Dinamo Zagreb
83.3%Draw
12.5%Astana
4.2%24
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 3pm
Jul 25, 2023 7pm
Aug 14, 2018 7pm
Aug 7, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-19 14:47:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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