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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
50.06% | 24.91% | 25.02% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( 0.01) | 50.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% ( 0.01) | 72.27% ( -0.01) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% ( 0) | 20.12% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% ( 0.01) | 52.37% ( -0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( 0.01) | 34.74% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( 0.01) | 71.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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