MX23RW : Friday, May 31 11:52:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
4 - 1
Heerenveen

Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Heerenveen

Ajax experienced a new-manager bounce in the last match and will be looking to keep the momentum going as they approach their must-win Europa League encounter against Brighton & Hove Albion next week. Last week's win could be the turning point in the season for the hosts, and we fancy them to go back-to-back in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
62.73% (0.223 0.22) 19.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 17.97% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)33.91% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (-0.818 -0.82)55.76% (0.822 0.82)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.151 -0.15)10.38% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (-0.349 -0.35)33.9% (0.353 0.35)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.715 -0.72)32.04% (0.719 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.822 -0.82)68.51% (0.827 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 62.73%
    Heerenveen 17.97%
    Draw 19.29%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 62.73%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.29%
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Heerenveen
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Heerenveen
1-2
Ajax
Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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