MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 18:15:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
4 - 3
Ajax

Flamingo (44'), van der Hoorn (48'), Toornstra (71'), Fraulo (90')
Seuntjens (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hlynsson (52', 55'), Bergwijn (65' pen.)
Sosa (75'), Tahirovic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 Ajax

Such has been Ajax's demise that you cannot back them to defeat any Dutch team with any great confidence. Nevertheless, we are predicting that the visitors will battle their way to a hard-fought triumph, potentially kick-starting their campaign in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
32.29% (1.477 1.48) 23.27% (0.652 0.65) 44.45% (-2.131 -2.13)
Both teams to score 62.96% (-1.662 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-2.495 -2.5)38.41% (2.493 2.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-2.695 -2.7)60.7% (2.693 2.69)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)23.51% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)57.55% (0.505 0.5)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-1.789 -1.79)17.69% (1.787 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-3.189 -3.19)48.33% (3.188 3.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 32.29%
    Ajax 44.45%
    Draw 23.26%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.305 0.31)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.633 0.63)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.418 0.42)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.514 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.475 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.431 0.43)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.45%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
7.1%
Draw
14.3%
Ajax
78.6%
42
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-1
Utrecht
Bergwijn (20'), Brobbey (68'), Klaassen (90+3')
Douvikas (49')
Douvikas (75')
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 4
Utrecht
0-2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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