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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Crawley Town

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mutch (38'), Roles (61'), Lynch (72'), Addai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town

 Crawley are rarely thrashed despite their lowly league position, but we expect Sutton to continue their strong form by squeezing out a vital victory. Gray's side have won 10 league games at home this season, whereas Crawley have been defeated in 11 of their winless 17 trips away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
61.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)52.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.017000000000003 0.02)73.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)45.44% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 61.43%
    Crawley Town 15.95%
    Draw 22.61%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.43%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crawley

Sutton United
92.1%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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