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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Morecambe

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
45.2% (1.437 1.44) 22.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 31.9% (-1.372 -1.37)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.227 -0.23)36.77% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.246 -0.25)58.94% (0.245 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.47 0.47)16.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.834 0.83)46.67% (-0.835 -0.84)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.875 -0.88)22.95% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-1.305 -1.31)56.73% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.2%
    Morecambe 31.9%
    Draw 22.89%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Salford City vs Morecambe

Salford City
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Morecambe
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
2-0
Morecambe
Wilson (44'), Hunter (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (75'), Touray (79')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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