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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Carlisle United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

 Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
34.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 39.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.42% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.01%
    Carlisle United 39.34%
    Draw 26.65%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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