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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Oxford United

Wigan
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Oxford United

Wigan produced a formidable defensive performance to earn all three points at Exeter, however there are questions of whether the Latics can do the same against Oxford this time around. The U's will be desperate to get back to winning ways after dropping points late on against Blackpool, and we believe the visitors will be victorious on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
33.22% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 24.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 42.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)42.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (0.029000000000003 0.03)64.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.040000000000006 0.04)59.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.22%
    Oxford United 42.66%
    Draw 24.12%
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Wigan vs Oxford Utd

Wigan Athletic
20.0%
Draw
6.7%
Oxford United
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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