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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
62.84% ( -0.97) | 21.06% ( 0.64) | 16.1% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( -1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( -2.16) | 45.54% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% ( -2.09) | 67.87% ( 2.09) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% ( -0.96) | 13.88% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( -1.94) | 41.28% ( 1.94) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.7% ( -0.88) | 41.3% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.18% ( -0.78) | 77.82% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.83% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |