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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Exeter City

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

 A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
40.35% (-0.188 -0.19) 27.32% (0.334 0.33) 32.33% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-1.314 -1.31)56.12% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-1.076 -1.08)77.18% (1.078 1.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)27.26% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.944 -0.94)62.7% (0.945 0.95)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)32.2% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.883 -0.88)68.69% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.35%
    Exeter City 32.33%
    Draw 27.31%
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Exeter

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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